[Winter Event] JoaTJoaTJoaT13 - Mafia wins!

oh i would

Well I won’t vote myself, but its correct for the other villagers to vote me when the day comes to a close.

if he somehow flips town arctic is probably not scm

i am suprisesd tbh

Oh, Wind, I forgot… are you still looking at the idea that scum have been pushing the MLs on inactives/scum?

Because I invite you to look at the first person on Illwei, the first person on Shurian, and the hammerer on SirDerpsAlot.

Here’s whats going to happen. I’m going to list the reasons I’m a villager. Either you believe me or you don’t. If you don’t, I die.

If you do

We can talk about who to kill.

I think PKR, of the three, would have the worst odds of surviving lylo if v so think they’re the most mechanically optimal.

that makes sense, but I’m not confbiasing myself here. I had previously confbiased me into townreading you the entire game, so I’m un-confbiasting myself to look at the bigger picture.

ok. and I never see Arctic as scum here for reasons I’ve mentioned before.

yes, and any of you/Intensify/Maple could have taken that idea and pushed it.

I already know the answer to that. I wrote an entire case on it and convinced myself that Maple was scum, but now I’m trying to un-convince myself. I’m reversing my reads to see what happens, and something is very off.

I think pkr is the best kill today, but they aren’t always the best kill tomorrow if I die.

Apparently I’m a new user of the month

That’s cute

what are your reasons for thinking PKR is the best kill today?

Evidently you didn’t actually read what I said, so I’ll do the heavy lifting for you @WindwardAway.
This 1) either pokes a hole in your theory or 2) redefines who you should be looking at with it

I recognize that Intensify is on all three as well, don’t worry.

Let’s talk strategy. PKR is the player worst suited to defending theirself if V out of my PoE.

If light is a villager, maybe they can convince others

If intensify is a villager, maybe they can convince others

PKR? I skimmed today, I’ve played the game, they’re the lowest hanging fruit. If we kill a villager and ive miscleared someone, they’re the person least likely to convince me they’re a villager.

This is a pretty standard strategic practice, idk if people do that here

Spicy

So to recap: theyre in my poe and I think have a >66% chance to flip wolf.

If they are a villager, I believe they are the most likely to be liable to lose a Fx scenario.

Therefore jts the most mechanically optimal kill from my perspective.

I’m surprised I’m still alive.
I just wish I was killed to be put out of my misery tbh.

But I know that at this point we are like 2 lynches away from a loss so I have to fight tooth and nail

Okay, feel free to do so.

How long left in day? 26 or so?

From my perspective we have 3 person PoE too. But my issue is that they’re absolutely the team if you’re town and if not then I’m going to have to reevaluate hard.