Okay, well, the thread is still dead. I guess that’s to be expected. I think both town and scum aren’t quite sure anymore what’s going to happen.
Anyway, assuming we continue with our plan we had just in case it came to this, I guess I’ll be the one making the final decision. So might as well get started sooner than later. I hope that you both will be getting involved later.
Mech
So the way I see it, there’s no mech info confirming Gorta. His claim itself is kind of suspicious. Morocco sounds like some extra country given as a fake claim for scum. The role to check if a flip is altered is easily fakeable. And actually looking at the flipped scum, the one with the role that altered anything just says they alter investigations at night. Nothing about changing the flip.
Nightgale has the neighborhood role. We did see that Vul was in the neighborhood and was scum, so we know scum aren’t excluded. The assumption was that it is unlikely more than one scum would be included in the neighborhood, but I don’t think that can be accepted so readily anymore. It still does give a bit more mech credibility to Nightingale over Gorta.
Conclusion: Mech favors Nightingale over Gorta.
Solving
Nightgale has seemed more invested in solving than Gorta overall this game. Though Gorta doesn’t really do a whole lot as town despite saying he’ll be doing more. Admittedly looking through his ISO, it does appear he was involved a bit more than usual. However, his activity has dropped off quite a bit towards the end here. I suppose everyone’s has, but seems more stark for Gorta. This makes me wonder if he’s kind of given up and just hoping to squeak by somehow.
Conclusion: Solving investment favors Nightingale over Gorta.
Voting
For D1, the Majora cuddle was random between 2 tied V wagons. Gorta was on one of the wagons, but Ami (Nightingale’s slot) didn’t vote despite being there for EoD.
Details
For D2, this was the interesting vote between Arctic and Gorta. It has been assumed that this spewed Gorta as town. And this is really the only thing going for him. Nightingale did vote for Arctic , the scum flip. Gorta did as well, though his makes sense anyway because of self-pres. I’ll come back to this vote timeline later another post.
Details
For D3, the wagons were both V (ClonedCheese and Light ) as well. Gorta voted for Cloned , who was ML’d. Min was on that wagon as well. Nightingale was on Light’s wagon. So this be seen as Nightingale avoiding the V wagon. Vul had avoided either wagon by voting for Kyo instead. So did the scum split their votes? Or did Min and W!Gorta for some reason pile on Cloned ? I can’t think of any reason scum would particularly care about killing Cloned over Light .
Details
So for D1 to D3, Nightingale’s slot avoided voting on both town flips (and where the wagons were between 2 towns). This looks a lot like TMI on town flips and wanting to avoid being on those wagons. Gorta voted on both town flips.
Conclusion: Voting favors Gorta over Nightingale (both directly and from spew).
I’ll check the thread later this evening around the time you both should be waking up.
