i believe i said something similar, except that mine was with my knowledge of statistics from algebra II Trig
Consider a different game of 10 players, with two 5 player teams. Every game has a 1/2 chance of having a troll/game thrower, and never has more than 1 (for simplicity)
You have a 25% chance of having a troll on your team, 25% chance on your opponents team, and 50% no troll.
If every one plays 10 games before the game dies, then it is logical to assume any given player that is not a troll had about 2.5 games with a troll, 2.5 with the enemy having a troll, and 5 with no troll in the game.
Already, some people will have had 3 games with a troll and others with 2.
Not only that, BUT SIMPLE LUCK means some people will have had 1 or 0 games with a troll on their side,
(am just realizing I over complicated this scenario)
This all here is complete jibberish. Speak in a way that others will understand, instead of just trying to sound smart to validate your argument.
I haven’t done stats and I under stand this shit, stats are formed by algorithms that predict what a COMPUTER would do
says to tailed test without explaining the word
no idea what this means
no explanation of these numbers given
Rope just be quiet. It’s okay not knowing about maths but don’t try convince people who actually have a brain that your right when your literally talking complete bullshit.
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guys I don’t know anything about maths but I think you are wrong . we don’t need experts . I have a feeling .
#alternativefacts
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I linked you the wiki page for a reason. I’m not trying to sound smart, I’m trying to explain it in the most accurate way.
If you don’t want to take the time to read and get up to speed, then that’s your choice.
Take a moment to think.
I have played tens of games of uno, and have won about 45% percent of the games I played (about 4 people average)
this is statistically improbable, no? BUT IT STILL HAPPENED.
Rope fuck me you’re so wrong it hurts. You won 45% of games because YOU ARE BETTER AT UNO THAN THE OTHERS. That is not luck. That is skill. If that were converted into a rank you would be higher than your friends which is correct, as you are clearly better at uno than them.
You literally just gave evidence to disprove your point but somehow thinks this helps you. It’s fine if you’re young or whatever but you need to learn to not argue about shit you have 0 understanding of.
that depends
if everyone was playing randomly, there are 2 players in every game, and you played, say, 100 games, then it would be statistically improbable (or unlikely), yes
but theres a big difference between statistically insignificant and unlikely
if something is unlikely, and you use a big sample size, its reasonable to assume that it will happen
if something is statistically insignificant however, its just that, insignificant
even if 1000000 people did something statistically insignificant, there’s less than a 1/1000000 chance that at least 1 of them will do that thing
but there is conversely a chance that within that 1,000,000 more than 1 person will do what you say .
That’s pretty awful statistical analyayze .
Claiming statistical insignifigance on an event that has a pre defined probability then arguing it wont be significant takes out the purpose of statistical accuracy .
If it was statistically known that only 1 in 1000000 wanted to destroy the world If you gave 1,000,000 a big red button that destroyed the world if they pushed it , would you be happy to say that because we know of these people that only 1 in 1000000 people are likely to press the button that the risk is insignificant ?
There is little to no skill in uno, at least not enough to constitute the entirety of a 20% change in win rate