[FoL] EFoL 3 - Cult Wins

fair, i’m just trying to generate discussion before i’m not in a statevto post

So this post, on it’s own, seems at least semi-genuine. It’s where we get into the rest of the posts that this is wrong. The only weird thing to me is why a Scorned (and I do think Scorned is more likely than Fool) would soft specifically Paladin D1, when it screws them if it’s Unseen game.

This reaction seems super pure to me, and it very much risked you outing basically the entire Cult if it turns out Sogman is a real paladin. I just don’t think Cult does that, not D2 with Prince alive and possible BD killers. There is the possibility of you being Fool trying to stop a correct lynch but I don’t think that’s what happened.

literally everyone who uses this phrase ever is lying about something This is a weird phrasing to use from a real paladin. It seems like the sort of thing you only actually use if you are a fake, trying to figure out if you can weasel out of it.

Like I was saying, I really don’t think scum would immediately hardclaim Princess with an S/S check here.

We then see various posts along these lines. These make sense for Fool more than Scorned, but it could be a Scorned trying to prove themself BD by pushing for a move that would guarantee a loss if they were actually Scorned.

But this is why I lean Scorned over Fool. Specifically pushing the Dat lynch (i.e. the lynch on a disguised target) over the Kai lynch, for no particular reason.

I was also very much townreading Kai D1, whereas Sogman was null-to-slight-townlean with the only evidence being the soft, and early softs are not in themselves a confirm.

I think flipping any of Kai/Dat/Sog (tomorrow, so we can go with the bounty plan to confirm flips) will pretty much break the game open.

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Congrats, your now the towniest a null read can be

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image

have a gold star

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Not going to lie, this is part of why I’m inclined to trust you-in-general here over Sog-in-general. It would be really easy to lazily townread me on the grounds that effort = town, or wallposts = town, or what have you, and Sog’s doing that and you aren’t, which makes me inclined to trust your reads as indicating a genuine attempt to solve rather than an attempt to look productive.

You ready to see kai gamesolve d2
Sog-Scorned/Fool
Kyo-CL/Cult
Dat/???-CL/Cult
NK-Beats me

yw game solve, please deliver fan mail to P.o. box 420

you have an ability that can remove people from scum chat right

if so like use it on dat or kyo or someshit

Court Spies (Day) - Select 2 players. Send a message saying “Noble’s Spies close in on you!” to any targeted members of the Unseen/Cult. Those targeted members will be removed from Unseen/Cult chat for the coming night and day. - 2 uses.

It won’t go into effect until the start of the night, and I maintain that Kyo is BD, but sure, I can do that.

…and why do you want me to use it on Dat? You specifically found the person who “found” Dat as S/S.

i found sog as s/s, i’m high not dumb. A broken clock is still right twice a day

Yes, Sog, the person who found Dat.

Dat is the person associated with you in the Thunderdome, not the person with associations of being not with you. Like, obviously Sog could have just gotten really lucky as Scorned, but.

i think i should stop posting now, i’m not saying dat isn’t cult but the possibility should remain

I realize that Dat could absolutely still be Cult, I’m just saying that from your point of view they shouldn’t have a much higher likelihood of flipping Cult than a random would.

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2 in 11 chance amigo. over ten percent chance he flips scum of high kai is doing his math right

I mean, I’m happy to use this ability, and from my point of view, not knowing for certain how the Thunderdome will resolve, Datbird seems like a decent option for one of the two people to use it on.

you do you man. anyways imma head off as high kai is useless lol

Either Alice protected Kyo or tried to attack Kyo using Blood of Mithras by Cult Leader.

That explains lack of 1 kill

Yes, I was implying you would get more unless Alice also visited someone else but I think it’s clear Kyo is either Cult Leader or Alice failed to attack Kyo because immune to it?

General public service announcement that I’m going to sleep.

Additional PSA to not quickhammer people.

Sorry, wasn’t implying I meant.