[NFoL] Newbie Forum of Lies 4 - Day 4 - The Blue Dragon and the Plutocratic King win!

Forum Matches Forum of Lies
#3627

that doesnt even make sense from your prespective you made a mistake and you fully acknowledge how you do it again

#3628

I cant win in nap plan

#3629

What’s the chance I would be wrong two times? Pretty unlikely

#3630

thats not how chance works

#3631

you cant win? I thought you werent NK though?

#3632

thanks for confessing to being nk lol

#3633

you even akncowledge how you were sure thaat someone who was BD wasnt and now youre doing it again without giving it a second thought

#3634

@SogMan Hja legit just slipped that they are NK. How could you not vote this?

#3635

no its not lol the quote above says that I am NK trying to find a way to stay alive and win

#3636

1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 chance of you being BD. I’m willing to take the 3/4. It’s too coincidental

#3637

you immideatly make quote out of context to make me look scummy lmao

#3638

how is it out of context?

#3639

wat

#3640

Also @Diggity69 are you here

#3641

because I replied to quote where it said that I am NK trying to find a way to stay alive and win

#3642

yeah and you’re trying to avoid naps plan, thats the point

#3643

Probability. If it’s 50% likely Lymph was MM and it’s 50% likely that you are Demon, then it’s 25% that you flip BD. But it’s not even 50% really, so I’m giving you the benefit of the doubt

#3644

you do understand that if you have 1/2 chance of something happening that chance wont change because of you being wrong before

#3645

@JakeTheWolfie or @KyoDaz if you guys are awake come talk

#3646

They are two independent events so you multiply them together and it equals the chance that both of you guys flipped BD