Rwby fm - wolves win! at least it wasnt a ******* scumstomp

I currently think that atlas is villagerier than eli

I do not think arete and vulgard are w/w
I do not think blizer and vulgard are w/w (this one is more of a yolo)

who can vulgard be mafia with if these are true. Derpsā€¦ sure, a hardbus after I already more or less bury him is plausible.

then uhā€¦ Atlas? Eli?
Do either of those make sense as vulā€™s partner? as wolves?

this is what iā€™m going to try and figure out

I think thatā€™s basically WifoM

I would vaguely expect the wolves to be split 2-1 in either direction for ā€˜generally townreading PKRā€™ and ā€˜generally scumreading PKRā€™ just because wolf teams in general are scared to all take the same line on contentious village slots

being part of the CFD to PKR is probably >rand V because the top wagon when the CFD happened was a village wagon that was comfortably in the lead and I think most wolves on this site wouldnā€™t want to draw attention to themselves that much

this doesnā€™t apply to the preexisting votes on him (so Vul and Marshal) since they were ā€¦ already there ā€¦ rather than CFDing

I think that if I had no meta on either of them I would completely agree but that Eli is villagerier relative to his meta (with Atlasā€™s meta obviously being a huge null)

To be frank arete I think that all the words you wrote could be written by mafia
I think thereā€™s a lot of stuff from vulā€™s side that I would say is straight up out of the realm of w/w but Iā€™m still not really convinced youā€™re a villager

I think thereā€™s likely 1 mafia between you because of PoE and also because I wouldnā€™t realllllly expect you to flat out misread vulgard

For you two to be v/v would aaaaaaaalso require one of atlas or eli to be mafia

vote counts for reference (ignore the colors, I was trying to analyze wagon formations earlier and didnā€™t get anything useful)

While eliā€™s content is better than I think heā€™s ever done as wolf, and by a decently significant margin, heā€™s sort ofā€¦ stopped, after d1

thatā€™s my biggest issue with the slot (or rather what makes it hardest for me to clear him), to be clear I donā€™t actually think itā€™s that wolfy that heā€™s dropped off in activity? But it also makes ā€œeli tried really hard d1 to break his meta and then coasted for the rest of the gameā€ a lot more plausible.

I disagree with marl spew being good for eli ftr

I guess I could see Vulgard/Derps/Eli

I have no opinion on what Marl means for Eli

*Marl spew

I have an opinion but that opinion is that it doesnā€™t look great in either direction

what do you think of vulā€™s ā€œeli is spewedā€ read (moreso on what it means for vul and maybe eli, not reallly on if you agree becuase youā€™ve sort of outlined that)

I think the read itself is NAI for him (itā€™s not out of range in either direction)

>rand to be TMI if Vul is a wolf (Eli hasnā€™t really been coming under much in the way of pressure, and the specific way that Vul spent a long time shading Eli before taking him out of the PoE is more likely to come from a wolf whoā€™s like ā€˜I want to miselim Eliā€™ ā€˜never mind people donā€™t want to go for it so I will instead performatively clear himā€™ rather than a wolf whoā€™s like ā€˜I want to bus Eliā€™ ā€˜never mind, people donā€™t want to go for it, instead of keeping him on the back burner and probably getting cred later for it I will reverse my read on him and tie us together even though my read wasnā€™t actually getting him killedā€™)

Iā€™m trying to figure out how to express ā€˜despite the fact that Marshal has the doctor thing going for her, the fact that sheā€™s trying to claim Iā€™m not out of my wolfrange yet is mildly concerning because Iā€™ve been out of it for a while (not because of the Vul case) and sheā€™s one of ~three players who should know thatā€™ without it getting dismissed as OMGUS

Iā€™m not going to cave to this, Iā€™m going to take my time

I think your wall is not out of your wolfrange.
There are posts that I find good, quite a few of them, but I canā€™t say youā€™re out of range and I usually am able to do that.

(fwiw while the thread was down I did briefly try to entertain hypotheticals where the doc thing is fake and had a hard time coming up with non implausible ones, so itā€™s probably just real. just. Iā€™m nervous and given that thereā€™s a nonzero chance I die today I donā€™t want to go down with anything on the record that she can use to argue ā€˜Arete said Marissa locktown never kill!! trust aret!ā€™

this is why I find it vaguely concerning that you canā€™t :upside_down_face:

No realistically if youā€™re town I think ā€œmarissa should have found meā€ is fine enough but I think the angles youā€™ve been taking arenā€™t specifically out of range? Itā€™s tough because youā€™ve replaced in d4 and the path if you are wolf is more or less laid out for you and the game itself is already pretty developed so itā€™s hard to really look at your own independently developed reads and go ā€œyep arete is straight up villagingā€

however I also think you could be wolf trying to insinuate I should be v reading you so iā€™m not particularly giving care to that concern at the moment :joy_cat:

itā€™s also hard because the person you are 98% wolf on has also insisted they are obvious villager out of range obviously which makes this fun and sure wonā€™t lead to someone getting pissed at me postgame because I didnā€™t see their shining villageriness

to be fair Vul has also said that he totally understands how people find what heā€™s doing wolfy

but whatevs

the topic of my solvingsystuff right now is eli the psycho because I think he fits into a few fringe-ish teams and ideally I can figure out if I can eliminate those fringe teams or seriously consider him as part of a PoE