Rwby fm - wolves win! at least it wasnt a ******* scumstomp

I currently think that atlas is villagerier than eli

I do not think arete and vulgard are w/w
I do not think blizer and vulgard are w/w (this one is more of a yolo)

who can vulgard be mafia with if these are true. Derps… sure, a hardbus after I already more or less bury him is plausible.

then uh… Atlas? Eli?
Do either of those make sense as vul’s partner? as wolves?

this is what i’m going to try and figure out

I think that’s basically WifoM

I would vaguely expect the wolves to be split 2-1 in either direction for ā€˜generally townreading PKR’ and ā€˜generally scumreading PKR’ just because wolf teams in general are scared to all take the same line on contentious village slots

being part of the CFD to PKR is probably >rand V because the top wagon when the CFD happened was a village wagon that was comfortably in the lead and I think most wolves on this site wouldn’t want to draw attention to themselves that much

this doesn’t apply to the preexisting votes on him (so Vul and Marshal) since they were … already there … rather than CFDing

I think that if I had no meta on either of them I would completely agree but that Eli is villagerier relative to his meta (with Atlas’s meta obviously being a huge null)

To be frank arete I think that all the words you wrote could be written by mafia
I think there’s a lot of stuff from vul’s side that I would say is straight up out of the realm of w/w but I’m still not really convinced you’re a villager

I think there’s likely 1 mafia between you because of PoE and also because I wouldn’t realllllly expect you to flat out misread vulgard

For you two to be v/v would aaaaaaaalso require one of atlas or eli to be mafia

vote counts for reference (ignore the colors, I was trying to analyze wagon formations earlier and didn’t get anything useful)

While eli’s content is better than I think he’s ever done as wolf, and by a decently significant margin, he’s sort of… stopped, after d1

that’s my biggest issue with the slot (or rather what makes it hardest for me to clear him), to be clear I don’t actually think it’s that wolfy that he’s dropped off in activity? But it also makes ā€œeli tried really hard d1 to break his meta and then coasted for the rest of the gameā€ a lot more plausible.

I disagree with marl spew being good for eli ftr

I guess I could see Vulgard/Derps/Eli

I have no opinion on what Marl means for Eli

*Marl spew

I have an opinion but that opinion is that it doesn’t look great in either direction

what do you think of vul’s ā€œeli is spewedā€ read (moreso on what it means for vul and maybe eli, not reallly on if you agree becuase you’ve sort of outlined that)

I think the read itself is NAI for him (it’s not out of range in either direction)

>rand to be TMI if Vul is a wolf (Eli hasn’t really been coming under much in the way of pressure, and the specific way that Vul spent a long time shading Eli before taking him out of the PoE is more likely to come from a wolf who’s like ā€˜I want to miselim Eli’ ā€˜never mind people don’t want to go for it so I will instead performatively clear him’ rather than a wolf who’s like ā€˜I want to bus Eli’ ā€˜never mind, people don’t want to go for it, instead of keeping him on the back burner and probably getting cred later for it I will reverse my read on him and tie us together even though my read wasn’t actually getting him killed’)

I’m trying to figure out how to express ā€˜despite the fact that Marshal has the doctor thing going for her, the fact that she’s trying to claim I’m not out of my wolfrange yet is mildly concerning because I’ve been out of it for a while (not because of the Vul case) and she’s one of ~three players who should know that’ without it getting dismissed as OMGUS

I’m not going to cave to this, I’m going to take my time

I think your wall is not out of your wolfrange.
There are posts that I find good, quite a few of them, but I can’t say you’re out of range and I usually am able to do that.

(fwiw while the thread was down I did briefly try to entertain hypotheticals where the doc thing is fake and had a hard time coming up with non implausible ones, so it’s probably just real. just. I’m nervous and given that there’s a nonzero chance I die today I don’t want to go down with anything on the record that she can use to argue ā€˜Arete said Marissa locktown never kill!! trust aret!’

this is why I find it vaguely concerning that you can’t :upside_down_face:

No realistically if you’re town I think ā€œmarissa should have found meā€ is fine enough but I think the angles you’ve been taking aren’t specifically out of range? It’s tough because you’ve replaced in d4 and the path if you are wolf is more or less laid out for you and the game itself is already pretty developed so it’s hard to really look at your own independently developed reads and go ā€œyep arete is straight up villagingā€

however I also think you could be wolf trying to insinuate I should be v reading you so i’m not particularly giving care to that concern at the moment :joy_cat:

it’s also hard because the person you are 98% wolf on has also insisted they are obvious villager out of range obviously which makes this fun and sure won’t lead to someone getting pissed at me postgame because I didn’t see their shining villageriness

to be fair Vul has also said that he totally understands how people find what he’s doing wolfy

but whatevs

the topic of my solvingsystuff right now is eli the psycho because I think he fits into a few fringe-ish teams and ideally I can figure out if I can eliminate those fringe teams or seriously consider him as part of a PoE