[SFoL] 52 Clash Of Cults - The Blue Dragon are Victorious!

idk. lemme look

Yes they do.

it wasnt an alt so i was confused.

either way, Iā€™m not cult. invest me, frame me, redcheck bluecheck onecheck twocheck me. you will know tommorow

Interesting defence

Alright, Iā€™m going to go to sleep. Some last minute comments that kinda turned into a little read list.

As of my last read, I read Vul/Luxy as town and I havenā€™t caught anything out of the ordinary while breezing through 1000 postsā€¦ going to have to go back to that thoughā€¦ these were my strongest townreads so i wasnt really looking into them a whole lot

Arete checked by Italy as NSā€¦ I dont believe Arete has a reason to tailor tonight. If Kai claims to find Ozz as NS, then I believe Ozz here. Also, since yesterday, I dont think Ozz would meme this much as scum. He is a possible tailor as he was scumread by some d1ā€¦ though Iā€™m not so sure if Cult would waste a tailor this earlyā€¦ if they would it feels to me like Corax as they have more tailors. Regarding his behavior thoughā€¦ now that I know the redcheck was fake heā€™s probably BD, based off how he came out with his Pally claim. I donā€™t think the response to the reaction test was really too indicative of his alignment though.

Marshal seemed like he wanted to quickhammer Ozzā€¦ not so sure how I feel about that. Seemed super confident that Ozz was evil. I want to look at his meta some more before coming to a judgement.

Alice sounds pretty analytical and I think their push on Jgoes feels genuineā€¦they also claim to clear Tele with mech infoā€¦eh I feel like I wanna know more this though and why exactly they decided to choose Tele as their target especially since they said they were confirmable and we could reasonably expect a claim from them D2 as they were a scumread.

Kai with that reaction test makes somewhat senseā€¦ I canā€™t really see it as an opportunity to quickhammerā€¦ but itā€™s the fake redcheck thatā€™s got me thinkingā€¦ but I donā€™t really think Kai would sacrifice himself for Ozz (bc of LHF and because it usually requires one cultist to die in the transaction, putting them behind the other cult and BD). I agree with Luxy on this one, if Kai is cult, itā€™s likely coordinated with either Alice or Ozzā€¦my gut tells me that Kai is town tho

Derpā€™s response to the voting train on Jgoes was weirdā€¦ they did a reaction test of their own earlier though so I find it decently believable that they thought this was a reaction test as wellā€¦

Soulshade, talk tomorrow.

Italy feels genuine and based off NFoL4, I found them to be a bit more unsure about claiming as scum.

Jgoes needs to talk too. I still feel like he could be scum.

Havenā€™t looked at Dat again yet.

I probably wonā€™t be able to come on for a while (Probably up till mid-2nd day).

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Oh hi

I beg you, help me solve this. The game state baffles me.

I read only little but kai claimed redcheck on ozz right

What do you think of my tinfoil?

I came into D2 with these four people on my scumlist.

Alice
Jgo
Ozz
Tele

Itā€™s not even halfway through D2 and:

  • Alice is playing like BD throughout this day. Unless literally every push was on a BD but thatā€™d be so bad for us I donā€™t want to assume that.
  • Jgo sheeped me instantly on my Tele vote when I thought they were scumbuds??? This threw me for a loop, and itā€™s still possible Jgo is Cult, but it feels tooā€¦ easy to lynch them. Is anyone OPPOSED to a Jgo lynch? If yes, is it because you think theyā€™re BD?
  • Ozz is apparently Paladin because of Kaiā€™s reaction check. That whole interaction still feels weird to me, like a Cult gambitā€¦ but if he really is cleared, that makes three scumreads of mine problematic.
  • I agree with Tele. I really doubt sheā€™s the convert. I was suspecting her to be starting Cult and not Priest, but Alice says she has mech info on Tele and it confirms her claim, soā€¦?? Another Cult gambit? I feel weird about this. That said Tele still feels BD todayā€¦

I donā€™t understand this game state. This canā€™t be ā€˜all scum are lurking,ā€™ especially not with a convert.

This is very wrong. At this rate Iā€™m debating whether I should keep tunneling my initial reads or try a new approach with others.

Basically Iā€™m really suspicious of the fact my scumreads and tentative BD reads are confirming my strongest scumreads as BD, mechanically or otherwise.

I need to take a different look at this. Not sure how I will do it, but we need a new perspective.

Things are not going anywhere good for BD now, I feel.

Thereā€™s gotta be scum among the people we think are towncore, doubt scumteams are just lurkers + inactive

Who do you think is towncore?

Havenā€™t really been able to read up but seeing that we got people supposedly confirming others among our early SRs then one of Kai/You/Dat (also not necessarily my town core, this is what Kai said) probably is a meanie because I highly doubt every starting meanies are among Frost/Soul and then the more-so lurkers. I donā€™t see how thereā€™s no evil people pushing the wagons we did

Iā€™m getting the impression the wagons today might have been Cult members pushing between each other. That would explain why opinions seem to be so divided and why different people confirm the targets of different wagons.
How on board are you with the idea?

I agree, I think Kai and Ozz may be the same scumteam. However, Ozz feels extremely towny which made me think maybe Kai and Alice?

I guess, itā€™s true weā€™ve been reading Kai positively for the human part of his gameplay and thatā€™s why AtE is often to effective in Mafia, people read mostly based off whoā€™s a douche and whoā€™s a cool dude

I think this is basically NAI. It doesnā€™t really contribute much but itā€™s basically a meme, and not really the scummy sort of meme.

This is a little weird,

I like the Isoā€™s, though I wish he had Isoā€™s of the rest of the group.
DAY BREAK

Alright, a readwall without explanation isnā€™t the best way to do a read wall in my honest and unbiased opinion but itā€™s a start. It might be easier to draw associations here once a couple of other people have flipped. Note that he posts another readwall later in the day.

Good pressure on Napoleon in my opinion.

THANK YOU Yeah, this push feels pretty natural, maybe thatā€™s just the mindmelding talking but it doesnā€™t feel constructed. I think the odds of Marshal/Ozz as a scumteam are basically zero.

:eyes:

Itā€™s a little weird how he pings Ozz as Corax cult in particular, but there are actually reasons to do so.

More pushing on Ozz. Iā€™d be a hypocrite if I held that against him in a vacuum.

A couple of the read progressions here donā€™t exactly make sense, like pushing Magnus from scum to null, but these mostly seem reasonable? I feel like the D2 reads are more cautious than the D1 reads, which is interesting since we have more information now. Also, thereā€™s no Hja read the second time, I just think thatā€™s funny.

I donā€™t think this is an unpopular opinion at this point, but.

More Ozz tunneling.

Not wanting to kill random people, particularly Jgoes. This generally shows a lack of opportunism, which I tend to think is townie (it would be pretty easy to get a mislynch on an inactive or someone with an unimpressive D1/D2), which counters the main reason I could have to suspect him.

??This is totally out of line with the rest of his Iso and his train of thought previously.

In any case, I overall think Marshal is probably town here, based on lack of opportunism and progressions that feel basically logical. The last post I quoted is pretty scummy but I donā€™t think that overall itā€™s enough to detract from the other things I noticed.

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(sorry for interrupting the thread, Iā€™ve been working on that on and off for a couple hours now because I kept getting distracted :eyes:)

What does this mean?

Means someone else is playing on this account and Arete is playing on the otherā€™s person account

Just kidding he probably wanted to talk about himself as the 3rd person